Discussion on Weather Forecast

Respond to all of the prompts/questions below. I encourage you prepare your draft responses on a word document, hit "Add new discussion topic", put "Weather Forecast_Your Name" in the subject line and copy the answers from your document and paste in the main body. Please label each question using their question number to orient your audience. 

Q. 1. Forecast Funnel (Reading: Special Topic Section 13.1) (7 points)

a) What is the forecast funnel? List all the steps a forecaster follows while using forecast funnel method.  

b) For each of the step of forecast funnel, discuss how a forecaster comes up with a forecast report from the point of:

i) source data and specific feature on the data they look

ii) the tool they use

Q. 2. Weather Forecast Model (Section 13.4) (6 points)

Discuss why weather forecast models are not always accurate in predicting local weather conditions. Discuss this question from the standpoint of minimum four factors that degrade the performance of forecast model. 

Q. 3. Weather Forecast Activity (6 points)

a) Look at Table 13.2 under section 13.4c in your textbook. Go outside your room under the open sky in the night time to make observations of the weather at the time. Using table 13.2 as a reference to match your observations to one of the listed descriptions of observations, write down the indications and forecast  of your local weather for next 12-24 hours. Also note your location of your observations. 

b) After making a verification observation from the same location reported in a after 12 or 24 hour, come back to your post in this forum, hit reply and write down your verification to your forecast. State the accuracy of your forecast. 

Q. 4. Tornado Forecast (3 points)

Based on figure 13.14, suppose that a forecast had tracked the first few miles of the tornado's path up to point number 1, then made a very specific prediction, using persistence, that the tornado would continue on the track and pass just north of Moore. Would that forecast have been accurate? Would you consider the warning box outlined in red to be accurate? Explain.  

Feedback (3 points)

Provide a feedback by Saturday to a minimum of one post with your support/disagreement/asking to elaborate for the question you have/ or helping them to elaborate with your inputs. You need to provide specific reason/s to agree or disagree with the original post. Only saying  "you did a great job" is not considered a substantial feedback.